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Climate Models Warn of Sharp Permafrost Decline by 2040

A recent cluster of Arctic climate models reveals that permafrost across the Western Arctic may decline dramatically by 2040, posing urgent risks to community infrastructure, wildlife, and northern ecosystems. Researchers warn that thawing ground could destabilize key assets, including roads, runways, and buildings critical to remote community access.

Scientists are collaborating with local observers to validate ground temperatures using a network of sensors spanning Inuvialuit and Gwich’in regions. Their findings indicate that even modest increases in air temperature are accelerating soil instability much faster than previously projected.

Northern engineers emphasize the need for rapid investment in permafrost-resilient construction techniques, while policymakers debate new climate adaptation funds to safeguard essential transportation corridors and energy infrastructure.

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